Mortgage Rates Could Fall Further as Lender Competition Intensifies

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Steve Byrne Managing Director VLS Property Partners
Steve Byrne
Published: January 12, 2026

Mortgage Rates Could Fall Further as Lender Competition Intensifies

Growing competition among UK mortgage lenders could lead to further mortgage rate cuts in the coming weeks, according to industry brokers and analysts.

A newly published report from financial information service Moneyfacts suggests momentum is building across the mortgage market, with expectations of a strong housing market recovery in 2026.

Mortgage Product Choice at an 18-Year High

Moneyfacts data shows that the number of mortgage products available has reached its highest level in 18 years, giving buyers more choice and flexibility. Lenders are also easing criteria, helping to improve access to finance — particularly for first-time buyers.

This increase in competition is placing downward pressure on pricing, raising the likelihood of lower mortgage rates in early 2026.

Fixed-Rate Mortgages Dominate the Market

More than 80% of mortgage customers currently hold fixed-rate mortgages, meaning their interest rates remain unchanged until their deal expires — typically after two or five years — at which point borrowers must secure a new rate.

While mortgage rates have fallen over the past year, many homeowners still face higher repayments when refinancing, especially those coming off ultra-low fixed deals agreed before interest rates began rising.

Mortgage Rates Continue to Ease

In August last year, the average two-year fixed mortgage rate fell below 5% for the first time since the market disruption caused by the September 2022 mini-budget.

Rates have continued to trend downward since then, with further movement seen in recent days. Moneyfacts has indicated that additional rate reductions could occur early this year, provided economic conditions remain stable.

However, analysts warn that global economic uncertainty and inflation risks could still slow or reverse progress.

Optimism for the UK Housing Market in 2026

Rachel Springall, finance expert at Moneyfacts, said confidence is growing:

“Expectations are high for a booming market in 2026. Mortgage rates are lower year-on-year, and the choice of deals is abundant. First-time buyers are not being left behind by this progress.”

What This Means for Buyers and Investors

Lower mortgage rates, improved affordability, and wider product choice could support increased property market activity, benefiting first-time buyers, home movers, and property investors alike — particularly if rate reductions continue into 2026.